Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.007827 0.008773 0.009808 0.011028 0.012429 0.013994 0.015881
2025-04-06 0.006115 0.007345 0.008805 0.010678 0.013037 0.015934 0.019800
2025-04-13 0.005166 0.006487 0.008138 0.010381 0.013386 0.017328 0.022983
2025-04-20 0.004596 0.005979 0.007786 0.010355 0.013981 0.019010 0.026692
2025-04-27 0.004285 0.005753 0.007744 0.010698 0.015067 0.021452 0.031800
2025-05-04 0.003918 0.005399 0.007473 0.010661 0.015570 0.023076 0.035892
2025-05-11 0.003642 0.005140 0.007299 0.010728 0.016212 0.024961 0.040665
2025-05-18 0.003360 0.004840 0.007029 0.010607 0.016523 0.026331 0.044758
2025-05-25 0.003178 0.004671 0.006934 0.010741 0.017251 0.028467 0.050548
2025-06-01 0.002970 0.004443 0.006725 0.010661 0.017596 0.029967 0.055383
2025-06-08 0.002723 0.004133 0.006357 0.010275 0.017355 0.030365 0.058092
2025-06-15 0.002578 0.003976 0.006223 0.010273 0.017797 0.032080 0.063795
2025-06-22 0.002523 0.003965 0.006340 0.010743 0.019206 0.035944 0.075093
2025-06-29 0.002330 0.003712 0.006028 0.010412 0.019052 0.036668 0.079516
2025-07-06 0.002164 0.003492 0.005756 0.010124 0.018942 0.037459 0.084253
2025-07-13 0.002054 0.003362 0.005630 0.010099 0.019361 0.039445 0.092397
2025-07-20 0.002007 0.003336 0.005686 0.010431 0.020564 0.043370 0.106558
2025-07-27 0.001911 0.003218 0.005564 0.010395 0.020967 0.045503 0.116367
2025-08-03 0.001837 0.003132 0.005496 0.010461 0.021601 0.048291 0.128801
2025-08-10 0.001746 0.003009 0.005348 0.010343 0.021800 0.050024 0.138506
2025-08-17 0.001691 0.002950 0.005318 0.010473 0.022595 0.053425 0.154487
2025-08-24 0.001616 0.002849 0.005197 0.010396 0.022881 0.055517 0.166759
2025-08-31 0.001515 0.002690 0.004952 0.010021 0.022391 0.055407 0.171350